I’m officially done with blogging about politics for the year. I’m tired of it, and I have better things to do with my time like - making money in these times of monetary blackness.
I have made up my mind who to vote for for President of the United States. I’ll be voting for Bob Barr, the Libertarian. This decision is more on principle than anything. It’s my little tiny voice of dissent for the political process, my weariness of listening to and reading *all* media outlets (including my own blog), and my opposition to what both parties are doing to appeal to the electorate. I’ve said a lot over the last few months about my disapproval of both parties. I have begun studying foreign policy, whom one of my good friends thinks favors Democrats, but I’m skeptical of either mainstream candidate being able to improve our position on the world stage. As economic equilibria shift, so will politics and relations, and we can do no right in these times with the positions we’ve taken as a country over the last 50 years. In my lifetime, no President has been without some egregious blemishes on foreign policy. I cannot see either party taking a stance that is all of a sudden going to be some vast improvement over the next 4 years. 4 years is a blink of an eye. Anyway - don’t get me wrong, I don’t love Bob Barr and how he hammered on moral issues in his Republican days and was a forerunner in the call for Clinton’s impeachment. What I believe in is a smaller government and more freedoms for Americans, and I believe, in various ways, those Freedoms are being taken away by both mainstream parties. Again, my vote for Barr is my tiny voice of dissent.
I remain undecided on the Senate vote (Chambliss vs. Martin). For many reasons that I won’t get into, I’m dissatisfied with Saxby Chambliss, but for many reasons I won’t go into, I’m also not a big fan of Martin. In a nutshell, Martin is too much a party-line and rhetorically speaking Democrat and Chambliss is a good ‘ol boy big-government Republican, both having positions I disagree with.
The last issue I want to address is my position on the economic bailout/rescue/assistance/what have you / bill that just passed the Senate last night.
I will open the discussion by saying that the Senate put tons of pork and unrelated garbage into the bill. It’s that nasty, grisly, political sausage that should never be made out of something as important and cut and dried as the economic situation we find ourselves in. I agreed with the House voting the bill down, but unfortunately, it has given the Senate enough time to throw together an abominable amount of crap to bundle in with some daunting and arguable rescue tactics.
One of my absolute favorite talk show hosts, Herman Cain, royally ticked me off last night. He basically called the opposition to the bailout bill “uneducated”. I’ll concede there are those people out there who oppose a government bailout because they think Uncle Sam is coming to the rescue of the “Fat Cats” and don’t understand the economic impact to “main street”. But there are also those, like me, who understand the impact, and believe that the market should be allowed to clear on its own. I think Herman is dead wrong. We don’t have to bail out companies on Wall Street in order to get the credit market going again. We have the Fed. The Fed can create dollars. We have the Treasury. The Treasury can issue bonds and give liquidity to companies. Herman admits that the treasury can issue bonds to the tune of $350 billion today that could begin to alleviate the crisis without legislation. The bill’s main feature requiring approval is that it allows debt to be converted to company equity. I personally don’t feel that the government should have an ownership stake in private corporations. I disagree with it entirely, and I won’t support it. The socialist or fascist implications of the government owning part or all of a private business is scary, and it’s the wrong direction for the freedom of our economy.
If these companies are allowed to fail as a consequence of taking on too much risk, the end result will simply be the eventual acquisition or transferral of those assets to stronger hands who bear less risk in their portfolios. For the economy to get better, we must allow assets to change hands, for corrupt and mismanaged corporations to fail, and for financial strength to be restored. Propping up overly leveraged companies, in my opinion, perpetuates weakness in banks. If Main Street takes a short term hit, so be it.
What’s more, why should we trust the government to provide a solution?. The government created a great part of the problem in the first place. Congress allowed (and in some states even required) Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to continue to take on bad loans. Sure, wall street took mortgage debt and made derivative investments out of them, and that made it worse, but the government created the environment in which this could happen. The government also created part of the problem through the federal reserve who, during times of economic strength, left interest rates low, creating bubbles in the housing and equities markets, rather than prudently controlling economic growth. I laugh at those who call Alan Greenspan a “Laissez-Faire” Fed chief. His direct intervention caused bubbles in the economy and an weaker dollar than we should have tolerated. Housing prices have a long way to fall because they rose too fast. While irrational exuberance was happening, Wall Street and K Street) could do no wrong. Democrats got housing for poorer lower middle class constituents who couldn’t and shouldn’t have been able to afford it. Their positions on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac got them re-elected. Republicans’ rich buddies were getting rich on Wall Street. Investors made a lot of money. Those factors helped get Republicans re-elected. Everyone was happy. In other words, political greed caused the issue as much as economic greed caused it on Wall Street. Why should “we the people” allow this crazy, complex, and in many ways incorrect “gravy train” to keep on riding?
There is oversight in the new bailout bill, but that’s the only essential component, in my opinion. The oversight needs to be specifically targeted to be sure Wall Street can’t create as many derivatives. We need to render financial institutions unable to back a severely leveraged balanced sheet with risky financial instruments. Let’s keep the problem from occurring again, but let’s not keep these crooks that foolishly wrecked their companies’ balance sheets from going out of business. Let’s not give the government the option to own part of these unstable companies by being able to convert debt to equity. The government already has enough control of financial markets through monetary policy. The buck should stop right there.
Contrary to Herman Cain’s opinion, my arguments against the bailout are legitimate. They aren’t some cockeyed claim that we’re “bailing out rich people with taxpayer money”. That’s not the point. The point is - increasing government control over financial markets is wrong. Control and oversight/enforcement are different things.
Until ‘09 - John Scott - out (on the politics and economics topics).
Some last minute food for thought:
1) Glenn Beck letter from the future
2) Interesting CATO Institute research